Estimate the number of passengers arriving in SF airport every day.
- Rohit Kumar
Assumptions & Clarifications
Its a typical weekday. Not a holiday. Sometime in late Spring or early Fall so that its not tied to seasonal variations. For e.g, not during summer vacations, or spring break, winter break etc.
Equation
Passengers arriving = number of flights landing in SFO x avg number of people in a flight.
Number of flights landing = number of gates x number of flights landing per gate.
Number of gates = Number of terminals x number of gates per terminal
Terminals = I think 3 terminals.
Number of gates per terminal = 40 gates.
Total number of gates = 120.
Number of flights landing per gate dependent time of day, turn around time for flight to deboard and board passengers. Turn around time = 1hr.
7am – 11am: High. 100% gates open. No time wasted between flights within a gate. 1 flight per hr = 4 flights per gate. 120*4 = 480.
11am – 4pm: Medium: 75% gates open. 1 flight per hr = 5 flights per gate. Flights = 120 * 5 * 0.75 = 450.
4pm – 9pm: High. 100% gates open. 4 flights per gate. Flights = 120 *5 = 600.
9pm – 7am: Low. 20% gates open. 1 light every 2 hrs per gate. Flights = 10 * 0.2 * 0.5 * 120 = 120.
Total flights landed = 1750 flights.
Number of people per flight. Assume occupancy = 75%
Type of flights: Large: 400 people. 20%
Medium: 200 people. 50% flights. Here assume 20% of flights are stopping with a layover in SFO. So only 100 people will disembark.
100*0.1 + 200*0.4
Small: 80 people. 30% flights.
Avg number of people = 0.75 * (0.2*400 + 100*0.1 + 200*0.4 + 80*0.3) = 0.75*(80 + 90 + 24) = 0.75*200 = 150 people.
Total people landing = 150 * 1750 = 262K passengers landing.

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